High Stakes over Greenland
On January 6, six European leaders (France, Britain, Germany, Italy, Poland and Spain) expressed support for Denmark’s sovereignty over Greenland while noting that Artic security remains a “key priority” for Europe. The statement is surprising. For a long time, Europe has sought to avoid provoking President Trump. He has declared that US and NATO security […]
How Russia Turned Antisemitism into a Weapon
In the Soviet Union, antisemitism was not incidental. It was a tool of statecraft. That tool has been picked up again by Russia. In the late nineteenth century, the tsarist police fabricated The Protocols of the Elders of Zion, a document that purported to reveal the inner workings of a Jewish plot for global domination. […]
Israel’s Recognition of Somaliland: Strategic Wins
Israel’s recognition of Somaliland in December 2025 is a forward-looking initiative that supports a nascent democracy, advances regional stability and provides strategic gains for Israel and more generally for Western interests. Strategic Gains Recognition unlocks critical advantages for Israel and its allies: Red Sea and Bab al-Mandeb Security: A formal partnership with Somaliland, which has […]
The Uprising in Iran: The Meaning of Mashad, A Shift in Slogans, and the Role of Reza Pahlavi
The Meaning of Mashhad Reports from Mashhad, Iran’s second-largest city and one of the regime’s most important religious strongholds, mark a qualitative shift in Iran’s unrest. Over one million people reportedly rallied, regime forces withdrew, and the city briefly fell under protester control. Since the beginning of the uprising, more than 1,000 protests have been documented […]
The Prospects for a Democratic Transition in Venezuela
On January 7, Secretary of State Marco Rubio outlined a three-phase plan for Venezuela. The first phase focuses on oil. Owing to sanctions, much of Venezuela’s oil production is effectively frozen. Under this plan, American companies would help rehabilitate oil production and facilitate sales, while profits would be managed in a way intended to benefit […]
Israel in 2026: A New Consensus on Security
After two years of war, Israel has entered an election year in 2026, but security issues will not be paramount in upcoming elections. A new consensus across Israeli society has emerged on security that is being operationalized and implemented. Israel’s Pre-October 7 Security Thinking In September 2023, Israel’s strategic agenda recognized Iran as the primary […]
Prospects for Syria-Israel Relations
Prospects for more normal if not formally peaceful relations between Syria and Israel were diminishing in recent months. Thus it was positive that Syrian and Israeli officials met in Paris on January 5-6 to discuss security arrangements. These talks were mediated by US officials. President Trump says he wants Israel to “get along” with Syria. […]
Iran’s Unresolved Cultural Void
In Iran, the streets pulse with courage and moral clarity in protest against the clerical regime, yet they also reveal something else: raw anger can topple regimes but cannot construct the cultural foundations of a successor order. This moment could mark a pivot for the civilization of Iran. Can resistance mature into a durable culture […]
The Shoe Drops in Venezuela
On the morning of January 3, the world woke up to the successful US operation to seize Nicolás Maduro, head of the regime ruling Venezuela. No one should mourn his departure. But it remains uncertain whether the US move will trigger regime change and a democratic transition or alternatively a deal with regime successors. Latin […]
Israel’s Legal Rights to Self-Protect and to Punish Terrorists
By the fundamental principle known formally under international law as a jus cogens (“compelling law”) rule, each state is required to assist other states imperiled by terror-violence. The most important historical figures in creating and explaining this requirement were the Swiss jurist Emmerich de Vattel and the English jurist William Blackstone. Blackstone’s Commentaries became the […]
The Middle East at a Moment of Strategic Choice
Some media commentators were quick to dismiss Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s meeting this week with President Donald J. Trump, depicting it as driven by domestic politics, legal pressures, or media optics. But that is a mistake. This meeting comes at a time of profound regional fragility and converging pressures. On one front lies Iran’s aggressive […]
The Timely Death of a US Navy Frigate Program
In late November, Secretary of the Navy John Phelan canceled the increasingly challenged Constellation-class frigate program. The Constellation was to be built as a modified version of the European multipurpose frigate, designed by Naval Group (a French company) and Fincantieri (an Italian company with shipyards in Wisconsin). Only two of the planned six frigates, already […]
