America’s Options in Afghanistan

The Moscow Format on Afghanistan met on October 7, 2025 and included Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Afghan Taliban's acting Foreign Minister Amir Khan Muttaqi. Photo credit: Russian Foreign Ministry/Handout via REUTERS.

Four years have passed since the United States withdrew in chaos from Afghanistan, abandoning important projects, leaving behind billions of dollars of equipment and handing the Taliban many other assets in that country. The Taliban still rule Afghanistan. They face a mountain of unresolved problems yet are ready to employ as much force as necessary […]

The German – Polish Relationship, Soft Bigotry and Long Grievances

German Chancellor Frederich Merz and Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk. Photo credit: Klaudia Radecka via Reuters Connect.

“We must all turn our backs upon the horrors of the past and look to the future.”Winston Churchill, September 19, 1946, Zurich  Germany and Poland are European Union and NATO members, neighbors committed to the fight against an expansionist Russia with a combined massive economic might. They should be the closest of natural allies, but […]

Russia’s Return to Syria

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Syrian Foreign Minister Asa'ad al-Shaibani in Moscow, July 31, 2025. Photo credit: REUTERS.

On July 31, Syrian Foreign Minister Asa’ad al-Shaibani met with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow, the same city where deposed President Bashar al-Asad now lives in exile. Shaibani was carrying an unexpected request. According to sources familiar with the meeting, Damascus asked Russia to resume military police patrols along Syria’s southern border with Israel. […]

Russia and the West: The Economic Dimension

Book cover

Perfect Storm: Russia’s Failed Economic Opening, the Hurricane of War and Sanctions, and the Uncertain Future, by Thane Gustafson, Oxford University Press, 2025 In the final decade of the last century, the end of communism in Europe and the collapse of the Soviet Union left three developments in their wake. Together the three promised to […]

The Lesson of Russian History

Photo credit: REUTERS.

The German military historian Carl von Clausewitz, writing about the Napoleonic Wars, once commented on military aggressions more generally: “The conqueror is always peace-loving; he would much prefer to march into our state calmly.”  After the start of the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2014, when Russia annexed Crimea and covertly invaded the Donets Basin (Donbas) of […]

America’s Latin America Problem

March in support of Iran in Caracas, Venezuela June 19, 2025. Photo credit: REUTERS/Leonardo Fernandez Viloria.

Twenty years of US neglect have created space for adversaries to build permanent footholds in the Western Hemisphere. Iran and other adversaries are quietly building an operational network in America’s backyard, one that sanctions alone cannot dismantle.  The Venezuela Nexus Recent testimony from Hugo “Pollo” Carvajal, Venezuela’s former intelligence chief, reveals the depth of Iran-Venezuela […]

Reconciliation Bills and the Defense Budget

Photo credit: REUTERS/Leah Millis.

Both during his presidential campaign and since taking office, President Donald Trump has repeatedly echoed Ronald Reagan’s famous phrase “peace through strength,” while emphasizing the major emerging long-term threat from the People’s Republic of China. Despite Trump’s pronouncements, however, his fiscal year 2026 budget falls short of the defense spending levels that the Biden administration […]

Europe Faces a Threat Bigger Than Russia: Its Own Balkanization

The bridge connecting south and north Mitrovica. Photo credit: REUTERS/Ognen Teofilovski.

Bridge construction in the Western Balkans may be a microcosm of Europe’s fragmented, post-American future. During the Kosovo War of 1998-1999, the main bridge over the river Ibar in the ethnically divided town of Mitrovica was an important focal point. “On one side, sitting in chairs outside the Dolce Vita bar and listening to Italian music, are […]

How to Finance Ukraine’s Defense Industry

A Ukraine-made GARA UAV for aerial reconnaissance in the Zaporizhzhia region, Ukraine, May 2025. Photo credit: Dmytro Smolienko via Reuters Connect.

At this year’s Ukraine Recovery Conference in Rome, all eyes were on the country’s fast-growing defense-technology sector. With Kyiv now in its fourth year of war with Russia, Ukraine’s home-grown firms urgently need fresh capital – public, private, and blended – to offset gaps in allied arms deliveries and anchor Ukraine’s long-term recovery.  Longstanding prohibitions […]

Why President Trump Should Place Central Asia on His Agenda

Tashkent, Uzbekistan. Photo credit: Shutterstock.

For three decades Central Asia has remained largely peripheral to Washington’s strategic horizon. Yet Kazakhstan now supplies more than forty percent of the world’s mined uranium, while Turkmenistan controls one of the planet’s largest natural-gas deposits. No sitting US president has visited one of the region’s five countries – Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan. […]