Matt Reisener, Senior National Security Advisor at the Center for Maritime Strategy and former Senior Program Manager for the Middle East and North Africa at the National Democratic Institute, offers a clear assessment in the Jerusalem Strategic Tribune of the possible consequences of the war with Iran.
He argues that if this regime succeeds in its gamble over the Strait of Hormuz, the balance of power in the Gulf will change.
The reason is clear: the Strait of Hormuz is not only a passage. It is a bargaining chip, a legal test, and a geopolitical fault line.
Can Iran Really Control the Strait of Hormuz?
by
May 2026
Recent Articles
Lindsey Graham’s Leaves a Void
With the death of Senator Lindsey Graham, the Republican Party has lost one of its most consequential foreign policy leaders. Graham represented a tradition of conservative internationalism that combined military strength with economic statecraft, democratic values, and an unwavering belief that American leadership remains indispensable. That tradition deserves to endure. He leaves very big shoes […]
Israel and the Illusion of Permanent Victory
What if the greatest danger in world politics is not military weakness, but the illusion that military power can guarantee lasting security? In The Jerusalem Strategic Tribune, Professor Emeritus Louis René Beres argues that even decisive victories cannot eliminate the deeper forces driving war, terrorism and disorder. For Israel, as for every state, repeated conflict […]
Dr Sumantra Maitra on NATO, Iran and America’s strategic choices
Across this Atlantic Conversation with Jacob Heilbrunn, Dr Sumantra Maitra, Institute for Peace and Diplomacy Fellow and Fellow of the Royal Historical Society, delivers a clear-eyed assessment of today’s strategic order. He calls for NATO to return to its defensive purpose, urges Europe to prepare for a possible US pivot toward Asia, warns that regime […]
