From Chechnya to Ukraine, from Moscow’s weakened diplomacy to the rise of open-source intelligence, Christian Caryl sees a Russian system far more fragile than it appears.
In this five-part conversation with Jacob Heilbrunn, the Foreign Policy Magazine columnist explains how Putin’s vulnerabilities are multiplying: Ramzan Kadyrov’s uncertain future, Ukraine’s drone warfare deep inside Russia, Moscow’s dependence on China, Europe’s energy emancipation, and the growing power of a pluralistic Ukrainian democracy on Russia’s border.
Behind the image of control, Caryl describes a chaotic, corrupt and volatile system.
Authoritarian regimes can endure.
But they can also crack suddenly.
Christian Caryl Decodes Putin’s Fragile Empire
by
June 2026
Recent Articles
PUTIN’S FINALE AND BEYOND
On February 24 Vladimir Putin began the fifth year of his disastrous war against Ukraine. It has sacrificed a million men killed or wounded in order to gain a fragile hold on only a fifth of Ukraine’s territory. It has crippled Russia’s flagship energy industry, depleted the National Wealth Fund and impoverished the Russian countryside, […]
LAW AND SURVIVAL
WHAT IF PRESIDENT TRUMP ORDERS THE USE OF AMERICAN NUCLEAR WEAPONS?
WHAT IF PRESIDENT TRUMP ORDERS THE USE OF AMERICAN NUCLEAR WEAPONS?
With an executive branch now declaring it obligatory to follow presidential military orders without hesitation and threatening to prosecute American military personnel for respecting relevant law (the Uniform Code of Military Justice), it is high time to ask the most urgent question: “What if America’s designated military commanders receive a bewildering, incoherent or manifestly illegal […]
Removing the Houthi Threat to US Interests and Allies
One of the principal benefits of pursuing the war against Iran to the unconditional surrender of the Islamic Republic will be the end of the Houthi regime in northern Yemen. This regime represents a strategic Iranian foothold on the Arabian Peninsula. From Sanaa and the Yemeni highlands it has launched missiles and drones at Saudi […]
