Thoughts from the Safe Room on the New Map of the Middle East

Iranian missiles intercepted over Tel Aviv, June 16, 2025. Photo credit: REUTERS/Ronen Zvulun.

Every modern apartment in Israel comes with a safe room hardened to survive a missile or rocket hit. In 2022 I moved to Jerusalem, bought an apartment, and placed my library in the safe room. Thus, I had plenty of resources to consult in the safe room during the recent Iranian missile attacks. Here are […]

The Struggle for Syria

On May 14, President Donald Trump stood smiling with Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohamed bin Salman and Syria’s self-declared leader, Ahmed al-Shara’a, on the sidelines of the President’s visit to Riyadh. After the get together, the President declared that the United States would lift sanctions on Syria and re-establish diplomatic relations between the two countries.  […]

Saying the Right Things: The New Syria Takes a First Step Towards the Abraham Accords

US President Donald Trump meets with Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 14, 2025. Photo credit: via REUTERS.

Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa has a colossal problem. Syria’s infrastructure, including housing and commerce, was significantly destroyed during more than a decade of civil war. The new Syrian government will have great difficulty rebuilding Syria after more than a decade of civil war unless US and other sanctions are lifted. Syria has been under comprehensive […]

Deradicalization in the Middle East and Lessons for Gaza’s Future

Weapons exhibition for children in Gaza, June 2023. Photo credit: Mohammed Talatene/dpa via Reuters Connect.

As Israel continues its military campaign against Hamas in Gaza, policymakers in Jerusalem often use the term “deradicalization” when discussing Gaza’s future, mentioning it as a condition for the end of hostilities and calm. Yet Israeli politicians have not proposed concrete plans for its implementation,though everyone agrees Hamas’s murderous ideology (and the organization itself) must […]

Can India Mediate Between Israel and Iran?

Iran's Foreign Minister Hussain Amir Abdullahian meets with Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar, in Tehran, January 15, 2024. Photo credit: Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS.

Four decades in the undeclared conflict between Israel and Iran, the storm of war looms even larger over the Middle East, threatening to engulf its citizens in an unprecedented turmoil. If the confrontation between Israel and Iran escalates, the mediator most trusted by both sides may not hail from Beijing, Moscow, or Washington, but from […]

Hidden Discord in the Russia-Iran Alliance

Photo credit: IMAGO/APAimages via Reuters Connect.

When Iran’s President Raisi died in a helicopter crash in May, President Putin expressed condolences and called Raisi a “very reliable partner.” Russian Muslims offered prayers for Raisi at Moscow’s main mosque, and Russian state television provided continuous updates on the funeral arrangements from Iran. Raisi and Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian, who also perished in […]

Should America and Israel Sign a Defense Treaty? Depends on the Saudi Deal

US President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Photo credit: REUTERS/Debbie Hill/Pool/File Photo

A defense treaty with the US sounds attractive to many in Israel. In 1986-1987, I chaired discussions on the issue in the foreign affairs and defense committee of the Knesset, and we produced a document with pros and cons. The idea came up again in the Sharon government of 2004-2005, and we concluded then that […]

China’s Influence in the Middle East and the Strategic Considerations Underlying it

Photo credit: Shutterstock

The difficulty in comparing America’s and China’s influence in the Middle East is that the two operate on entirely different planes. [Note: The Chinese use the term Western Asia, rather than the Middle East, to refer to a region that includes the Levant, Iraq, the Gulf, Turkey and Iran.] Despite China’s impressive naval construction program, China […]