What the US Needs to Understand to Prevail in a Conflict over Taiwan

Chinese news footage of a map of military drills conducted by the PLA around the island of Taiwan, May 2024. Photo credit: REUTERS/Tingshu Wang.

China is steadily increasing coercive measures against Taiwan, but they remain to date below the threshold of military conflict. What is the point at which China’s coercion transitions to the use-of-military force consistent with war? Essentially, when does coercion end and conflict begin? Making that determination will be critical to United States responses. Enhancing understanding of […]

Forging a Better Partnership with Guatemala

Vice President Kamala Harris and President of Guatemala Bernardo Arévalo in Washington. Photo credit: Sipa USA via Reuters Connect / Ron Sachs.

Guatemala could become a key partner in the US efforts to manage migration flows from Central and South America. Looking ahead, whoever is elected the next president of the United States, either Kamala Harris or Donald Trump, will look to Guatemala to help manage migration in the countries south of Mexico.  Guatemala has been a […]

Taiwan’s Ongoing Business Ties with Russia

When a country’s government enacts sanctions against another country, individual firms in the country are left to determine whether to comply or seek sanctions-flouting workarounds to keep goods and services flowing. This is the reality faced by thousands of firms worldwide that buy from and sell to Russia, the world’s twelfth largest economy by nominal […]

What Might Deter Xi Jinping?

Photo credit: REUTERS/Tingshu Wang/File Photo.

The past two years have witnessed several failures of deterrence – Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 and Hamas’ attack on Israel in October 2023. The invasion of Ukraine heightened global awareness that military force by a state actor is not a relic of the past and could occur in other flashpoints around the […]

US Foreign Policy in an Election Year, <br> A Discussion at the JST Breakfast in Washington

Ambassador Anne Patterson, General Jim Clapper, and former Under Secretary of Defense Dov Zakheim – representing the worlds of diplomacy, intelligence and defense – led the discussion on February 29, at the Metropolitan Club in Washington. JST publisher Ahmed Charai began by surveying the many challenges facing the United States in this year Following are […]