Ambassador Michael Gfoeller, Founder of The Gfoeller Renaissance Foundation and former U.S. diplomat, analyzes in this interview with Jacob Heilbrunn the major geopolitical consequences of the war in Iran.
According to him, the potential collapse of the Islamic Republic could pave the way for a post-Islamist Iran, deeply transformed by a generational shift and the growing rejection of religious governance.
For Gfoeller, such a development would not concern Iran alone. It could shake Islamist movements across the region, weaken actors such as the Muslim Brotherhood, and reshape strategic dynamics involving Russia, China, and the war in Ukraine.
The former diplomat also believes that this moment could mark a turning point in global military strategy — the era of drones and robotic systems — while reinforcing the international position of the United States.
A Conversation exploring the possible transformations of the Middle East and their implications for the global order.
Michael Gfoeller: “A Post–Islamic Republic Iran Could Reshape the Global Balance”
by
March 2026
Recent Articles
The Countdown Starts Now:
Will 2026 Mark Al-Qaeda’s Strategic Breakthrough in the Sahel?
Will 2026 Mark Al-Qaeda’s Strategic Breakthrough in the Sahel?
On April 26, 2026, Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM), an affiliate of Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), in coordination with the Azawad Liberation Front, launched a large-scale offensive against government institutions across several regions in Mali, culminating in the assassination of the country’s Minister of Defense. This attack was not an isolated incident. Rather, […]
Can Iran Really Control the Strait of Hormuz?
Matt Reisener, Senior National Security Advisor at the Center for Maritime Strategy and former Senior Program Manager for the Middle East and North Africa at the National Democratic Institute, offers a clear assessment in the Jerusalem Strategic Tribune of the possible consequences of the war with Iran.He argues that if this regime succeeds in its […]
Why America Still Needs Europe
This analysis was published in The Jerusalem Strategic Tribune by Reuf Bajrović and Richard Kraemer, both affiliated with the US-Europe Alliance. Reuf Bajrović serves as Vice-President of the organization and is a Non-Resident Fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute. Richard Kraemer is President of the US-Europe Alliance and sits on the Advisory Council of […]
