A Middle East Strategy for the Trump Administration Should Lead with Business Opportunities
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The Key to Japan’s Economic Revival
In 2010, Japan fell behind China from second to the third place among the largest economies in the world. In 2023, Japan slipped again to fourth place, falling behind Germany. The recent drop has a variety of short and longer-term explanations: the economy contracted for two consecutive quarters in late 2023, the yen has steadily […]
Expanding US-Pakistan Relations Through Mining Projects
The geopolitics of minerals has changed in the last five years, driven largely by the global focus on electric cars. The demand for minerals used in batteries, like lithium, cobalt, and copper, will quadruple by 2040. Among top consumers is the US military; its drone fleets, reconnaissance robots, and directed energy weapons will run on […]
Will the Mess in Syria Produce Positive Results?
The speed with which the Syrian regime crumbled surprised even Syria-watchers, those who knew the depth of the rot. Corrupt, hated, cruel – that’s how Assad’s regime was seen by Syrian citizens. Many kept protesting against the regime for many months in southern, Druze-dominated Sweida province as well as other spots. The outside world stopped […]
Israel's Strategic Options regarding Iran
Israel’s strategic options regarding Iran are at a critical juncture. The diminishing threat from proxies and the impairment of Iran’s air defense capabilities have shifted the focus squarely onto Iran’s nuclear program in the immediate time frame. Iran’s threatening public declarations and technical advancements are a red warning light. For over a year, Israel has […]
With Assad Gone - What’s Next?
The fall of the Assad regime is the greatest event of the war over the past year, although the Syrian army itself did not take part in the fighting. The ring of fire that Iran had planned to establish around Israel has been dismantled with the loss of the single most important link in the […]
Is Putin’s Regime Fascist?
Ukrainians use the term rashizm to describe the Putin regime’s ideology. It’s a neologism combining “Russia” and “fascism.” Ukrainians note that Russia’s invasion aims not only to acquire territory but also to destroy Ukraine as an independent nation and culture. They note further that many Russian airstrikes are aimed at civilian non-military infrastructure. But such attacks […]
How Donald Trump Can Win the Nobel Peace Prize
As a presidential candidate, Donald Trump said that he would end the war between Ukraine and Russia in 24 hours. While he cannot achieve that goal so rapidly, it is conceivable that the second Trump administration could stop the fighting in Ukraine, in which case the president-elect would be worthy of the Nobel Peace Prize. […]
Three Thoughts on the Current Fighting in Syria
Turkish-backed Arab jihadists have taken Aleppo, Syria’s largest city, and are moving on Hama, the former capital of the Muslim Brotherhood-led revolt in 1981-1982. Here is my bottom line upfront – the realistic best option for Syria is survival of the Assad regime, with further weakening of its Iranian support – and following are three […]
US – China Competition: Food Security and the FAO
The United States had a rude awakening when China secured the head job at the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). It is an important outpost of Chinese influence in the multilateral system and now China seeks to extend its influence there. In 2019, the Chinese government candidate for director general of the FAO, former vice […]
A Call To Support Freedom of Expression and Oppose Incitement to Violence
At the Jerusalem Strategic Tribune, we stand with our publisher, Ahmed Charai, against a dangerous statement of November 25 condemning him that was issued by the Moroccan opposition party PJD’s Secretary General, Abdelilah Benkirane. This statement responds to Mr. Charai’s recent column in the Times of Israel criticizing the International Criminal Court’s arrest warrants for […]
Ukraine in a Second Trump Administration: The Case for Optimism
Since the US presidential election, friends and supporters have asked us at Razom for Ukraine how we feel about the future of Ukraine. Razom for Ukraine is an American aid and advocacy organization that has delivered more than $100 million in humanitarian assistance since 2022. Razom employs dozens of staff in Ukraine currently on the […]
Rethinking American-Chinese Competition in the Global South
Imagine a world where China buys all the mines in Africa, further solidifying its dominance over the production of rare earth minerals. Imagine if the entire Global South’s telecommunication networks were controlled by Huawei, subsea fiber-optic cables are nearly exclusively built or repaired by China’s HMN Technologies. Imagine the bulk of maritime trade passes through […]
Trump II Will Inherit a Divisive Political Scene in Israel
Most Israelis supported President Trump in this election, believing he would fully support Israel in its ongoing war against Iranian proxies. Prime Minister Netanyahu was among the first world leaders to congratulate him But the future Trump administration’s specific policies towards the Middle East remain unclear. During his campaign, Trump expressed interest in promoting peace […]
Africa in the Second Trump Administration
The Republican Party’s 2024 Platform did not mention Africa. Yet this does not mean that a coherent and potentially transformative American approach towards the “continent of tomorrow” cannot be found in the foreign policy vision articulated by President Trump and in the record of his first term. Here are three general guiding principles: First, America […]
A South Asia Roadmap
As the incoming Trump administration turns its gaze outward, it will find a world that is rudderless in many places, often stagnant and bereft, in no small measure owing to the abdication of any meaningful leadership from the United States that began under Barack Obama. In large parts of the world—Latin America, for instance, and […]
Trump Administration Faces a Suddenly Promising Middle East
BACKGROUND The second Trump administration will face immediate foreign policy dilemmas in all three Eurasian fronts. This paper concentrates on the Middle East, but the competing demands of Europe and East Asia, and the links among all of them, influence decisions everywhere. The dramatic events of the past year open the door to a regional […]
Rethinking America’s Ukraine Policy
Kicking the can down the road has characterized America’s Ukraine policy for the last two decades. The can is about to stop at the doorstep of incoming President Donald Trump. The assumptions that have guided US policy, crafted under far different geopolitical and geoeconomic circumstances, are simply no longer valid. The new Trump national security […]
Germany Heads Toward Elections
Germany is facing unexpected headwinds. As Ukraine struggles to fend off Russia, the Middle East erupts, and China menaces Taiwan, it is struggling to meet a welter of domestic and foreign challenges. The recent collapse of Social Democratic chancellor Olaf Scholz’s three-party coalition has coincided with the election of Donald Trump, creating a sense of […]
Book Reviews
What the United States Should and Should Not Do in the Middle East
The End of Ambition: America’s Past, Present and Future in the Middle East by Steven Cook, Oxford University Press, 2024 In the third of the three Godfather movies, Al Pacino, playing Michael Corleone, laments his inability to make a complete break with the family’s criminal past: “Just when I thought I was out,” he exclaims […]
A Case for Annexing the West Bank
One Jewish State, The Last, Best Hope to Resolve the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict, by David Friedman. Humanix Books, 2024. In late October of 1948, the young state of Israel launched an offensive against the seven Arab armies that had invaded it five months earlier. The Israelis attacked the Egyptian army (including Sudanese, Saudi and Muslim Brotherhood […]
Learning from the Democratic and Authoritarian Leaders of the Recent Past
The Titans of the Twentieth Century: How They Made History and the History They Made by Michael Mandelbaum. Oxford University Press, 2024 Michael Mandelbaum, the Christian A. Herter Professor Emeritus at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, has written numerous books on international affairs. A recent work, The Four Ages of American Foreign […]
Videos
Interview with Yossi Klein Halevi
Yossi Klein Halevi: In terms of my personal journey, it’s framed by my evolving, understanding of the Holocaust, my relationship to the Holocaust and my generation’s experience as opposed to my father’s experience. My father was a survivor from Hungary. I grew up in a very charged Holocaust environment in Brooklyn, in the 1960s, which […]
Interview with Gadi Taub
Gadi Taub: I believed in Oslo [the 1990s Palestinian-Israeli peace process] because I imagined the Palestinians to be like us. I imagined their national liberation movement to be a national liberation movement just like ours. Then reality just exploded outside my window. Tel Aviv is small. So from where I lived back then, when a […]
Interview with Shadow Fatah Leader Samer Sinijlawi
Ksenia Svetlova: You see how time and again people in the West Bank and in Gaza, even more so in the West Bank than in Gaza, say yes, we support Hamas. Samer Sinijlawi: I would not rely on polls very much during these days, not to test the feelings of the Palestinians and not to […]